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25 October 2025

AMD Stock Soars To Record High After AI Deals

Major partnerships with OpenAI and Oracle drive AMD shares up 90% this year as Wall Street bets big on the chipmaker’s AI ambitions despite export headwinds and fierce competition.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has set Wall Street abuzz with a historic rally, sending its stock to unprecedented heights and firmly establishing the company as a formidable contender in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence (AI) hardware market. In a year already marked by remarkable gains for technology shares, AMD’s performance stands out as nothing short of extraordinary, fueled by a series of blockbuster deals and surging demand for AI computing power.

On October 6, 2025, AMD shares rocketed 34% in a single trading session—their largest one-day percentage gain since 2016—after the company announced major partnerships with AI leader OpenAI and cloud giant Oracle. According to The Economic Times, this surge instantly added approximately $80 billion to AMD’s market capitalization, putting it on par with longtime rival Intel at around $380 billion. Just weeks later, AMD shares reached an all-time high of $251, and by October 24, the stock was trading at $250.05 with a staggering 90% year-to-date gain. For comparison, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose only 32% over the same period, underlining AMD’s outperformance not just against the market, but also its industry peers.

The catalyst for this explosive rally was twofold: AMD’s new AI partnerships and its robust financial results. The OpenAI deal will see AMD supply graphics processing units (GPUs) for a colossal 6 gigawatts of compute capacity, while Oracle has committed to deploying 50,000 next-generation Instinct GPUs across its cloud data centers. As reported by The Economic Times and corroborated by InvestingPro, these contracts are projected to generate tens of billions in annual revenue, with cumulative sales potentially exceeding $100 billion. Wedbush analysts estimate that each gigawatt of AI capacity could translate to approximately $20 billion in AMD sales, underscoring the scale of the opportunity.

AMD’s Chief Financial Officer Jean Hu highlighted the transformative nature of these agreements, stating that the OpenAI partnership should deliver “tens of billions in revenue and be highly accretive to future earnings.” This optimism is echoed by Wall Street: Bank of America, Jefferies, and Wolfe Research all raised their 12-month price targets to $300 following the announcements, while HSBC set an even loftier $310 target. Rosenblatt Securities maintained a $250 target with a Buy rating ahead of earnings, and Morgan Stanley boosted its 2027 revenue forecast to $51.2 billion from $44.2 billion, reflecting growing confidence in AMD’s ability to capture meaningful share in the expanding AI infrastructure market.

Financially, AMD has delivered on the hype. The company reported second-quarter 2025 revenue of $7.69 billion, a 32% increase year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.48. CEO Lisa Su guided third-quarter revenue to $8.7 billion, representing 20% growth, and full-year 2025 sales are now projected to approach $33 billion. Perhaps most tellingly, AI-related products now account for 21% of AMD’s total revenue, a significant jump from prior quarters and a clear sign that the company’s pivot toward data center and AI computing is paying off. According to The Economic Times, AMD’s datacenter revenue reached $3.2 billion with 14% growth, though it still trails industry leader Nvidia, whose datacenter revenue soared 73% to $39.1 billion over the same period.

Despite Nvidia’s dominance—commanding a 90% to 94% share of the datacenter GPU market—AMD is positioning itself as an open alternative to Nvidia’s proprietary systems. By leveraging its GPUs, EPYC CPUs, and Helios server racks, AMD aims to attract customers seeking more flexible infrastructure options. This strategy has resonated with major players like IBM, which recently adopted AMD’s FPGA chips for quantum computing error correction, citing their cost-effectiveness and performance.

The analyst community has taken notice. Approximately 60–65% of analysts now rate AMD as a Buy, up from 50% earlier in the year. The consensus target price has climbed to $249.92, and the company’s stock now trades at around 40 times expected 2026 earnings, with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 100 times. While this represents a premium compared to Nvidia’s roughly 30 times multiple, it reflects the market’s belief in AMD’s long-term growth prospects. However, some analysts, including those at Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, remain cautious, holding neutral ratings and warning that high expectations are already baked into the current share price.

Not all news is rosy, though. AMD faces headwinds from U.S. export restrictions on AI chip shipments to China, which are expected to reduce 2025 revenue by about $1.5 billion. This challenge, while significant, has not dampened investor enthusiasm, as the company’s expanding pipeline and strategic partnerships are seen as more than offsetting the setback. In addition, leaked BIOS code has revealed development of AMD’s upcoming Strix Point APU for Q4 2025, which will combine CPU and GPU capabilities for laptops and budget systems, further broadening the company’s reach.

Competition in the AI chip market is intensifying. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described the AMD-OpenAI deal as “imaginative” and acknowledged AMD as a serious competitor, even as Nvidia maintains its commanding lead. Meanwhile, Intel has entered the fray with its new Crescent Island datacenter AI chip set for 2026, bolstered by CHIPS Act funding and substantial investments from Nvidia and SoftBank. The battle for AI infrastructure supremacy is heating up, and AMD’s recent moves have ensured it will remain at the center of the action.

Looking ahead, AMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings soon, with an Analyst Day set for November 11, 2025, where the company will detail its 2026 product roadmap and strategy. Investors and industry observers alike will be watching closely to see whether AMD can sustain its momentum and continue to challenge the established order in AI hardware.

AMD’s meteoric rise in 2025 is a testament to both its strategic vision and the surging demand for AI computing power. With landmark deals, robust financials, and growing analyst support, the company has rewritten its competitive narrative—proving that in the world of technology, fortunes can change faster than anyone dares to imagine.