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18 October 2025

AI-Powered Ransomware Attacks Surge As Microsoft Warns

Microsoft’s latest Digital Defense Report finds ransomware and extortion now drive most cyberattacks, with AI fueling both criminals and defenders in a rapidly escalating global arms race.

Financially motivated cybercrime has reached unprecedented levels, with ransomware and extortion attacks now dominating the global digital threat landscape, according to Microsoft’s latest Digital Defense Report. Released on October 17, 2025, the report details a dramatic shift from espionage to profit-driven attacks, highlighting the growing sophistication of both cybercriminals and nation-state actors—and the central role artificial intelligence (AI) now plays on both sides of this escalating battle.

Microsoft’s analysts found that more than half of all cyber incidents with known motives in the past year were driven by extortion or ransomware. In fact, the report covering trends from July 2024 through June 2025 states that 80% of the cyber incidents investigated involved data theft, with at least 52% fueled by extortion or ransomware. Espionage, once the hallmark of high-profile cyberattacks, made up only 4% of incidents, according to Microsoft corporate vice president for customer security and trust Amy Hogan-Burney. "Most of the immediate attacks organizations face today come from opportunistic criminals looking to make a profit," Hogan-Burney said, as cited by GBH.

This surge in financially motivated attacks is not just a matter of numbers. Microsoft’s report reveals that attackers are increasingly targeting critical services—hospitals, local governments, and other essential providers—where weak security and urgent operational demands make them easy prey. The consequences have been all too real: disrupted emergency care, canceled school classes, and halted transport systems. In some cases, hospitals faced delayed medical care, and institutions were forced to pay ransoms to restore access to encrypted systems. As Microsoft’s report bluntly puts it, "These attacks have real-world consequences."

What’s driving this wave? The answer, in large part, is the democratization of cybercrime tools. Automation and easily accessible off-the-shelf programs have enabled even criminals with limited technical skills to launch widespread attacks. The rise of AI-powered attacks has dramatically lowered the barrier to entry, letting less-skilled attackers execute complex schemes such as phishing, data breaches, and malware deployment. Microsoft processes more than 100 trillion signals daily, blocking approximately 4.5 million new malware attempts, analyzing 38 million identity risk detections, and screening 5 billion emails for malware and phishing, according to the company’s figures. Yet, despite these massive defensive efforts, threat actors continue to exploit AI’s capabilities to automate attack processes and scale their operations.

The technological arms race is in full swing. Attackers are leveraging generative AI to automate phishing campaigns, discover software vulnerabilities at unprecedented speeds, and develop adaptive malware that can modify its behavior to evade detection. Criminals use AI to refine phishing, generate synthetic media, and create adaptive malware, while defenders rely on AI to detect threats faster, close security gaps, and protect vulnerable users. "2025 marked a major inflection point in the use of generative AI in cybersecurity," Microsoft’s report notes. Nation-state actors have also jumped on the AI bandwagon, incorporating it into cyber influence operations and making their efforts more advanced, scalable, and targeted over the past six months.

Critical public services remain at the epicenter of this digital storm. Hospitals and local governments, often hamstrung by tight cybersecurity budgets, limited incident response capabilities, and outdated software, face heightened risk. These institutions store sensitive data that criminals monetize through illicit dark web marketplaces, fueling downstream criminal activity. When cyberattacks strike, hospitals must quickly restore operations or risk patient lives—often leaving payment as the only recourse. The result? A vicious cycle that leaves society’s most essential services constantly under siege.

Identity-based attacks have also surged, rising 32% in the first half of 2025 alone. Over 97% of these attacks targeted passwords through large-scale guessing attempts using leaked credentials. Cybercriminals increasingly deploy infostealer malware to harvest credentials and browser session tokens at scale, then sell this information on cybercrime forums. The report highlights the effectiveness of phishing-resistant multifactor authentication (MFA), which can block over 99% of these attacks—even when attackers possess correct username and password combinations. Microsoft’s Digital Crimes Unit, in collaboration with the US Department of Justice and Europol, disrupted Lumma Stealer, the most popular infostealer malware, in May 2025—a rare bright spot in an otherwise concerning landscape.

But it’s not just profit-seeking criminals driving the surge. Nation-state actors are expanding their reach, with state-sponsored operations growing more sophisticated and sometimes intertwining financial motives with espionage. China, for instance, has intensified cyberespionage efforts targeting NGOs and vulnerable network devices, becoming faster at weaponizing newly disclosed vulnerabilities. Iran has broadened attacks on shipping and logistics companies, potentially positioning itself to disrupt maritime trade and expanding its reach from the Middle East to North America. Russia, meanwhile, has expanded beyond Ukraine, increasingly targeting small businesses in NATO countries—a 25% increase from last year. North Korea remains focused on revenue generation through remote IT worker schemes and extortion, funneling proceeds to the regime. The blending of state and criminal operations, Microsoft warns, is complicating efforts to attribute and respond to cyber incidents.

Microsoft’s report is clear: legacy security measures no longer suffice against these evolving threats. The company urges leaders to prioritize cybersecurity as a strategic responsibility, adopt phishing-resistant multifactor authentication, and build strong defenses across industries. "Security is not only a technical challenge, but a governance imperative," the report states. Governments must signal credible consequences for nation-state attacks through indictments, sanctions, and other measures, while industry and government must collaborate closely to protect the most vulnerable sectors and maintain vital services. Microsoft’s Secure Future Initiative seeks to strengthen defenses across its ecosystem while advocating for global collaboration and government action to deter malicious activity.

As digital transformation accelerates and AI reshapes the threat landscape, the stakes have never been higher. Microsoft concludes that security must now be treated as a shared societal duty—one that demands coordinated action, modern defenses leveraging AI, and a collective commitment to safeguarding economies, institutions, and individuals from the relentless tide of cyber threats. The call is urgent, the risks are real, and the time for complacency has long passed.