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27 February 2025

Vedanta Versus Hindustan Zinc: A Dividend Stock Showdown

Investors weigh long-term prospects and current yields of two leading dividend-paying stocks.

Dividend stocks are often deemed safe havens for investors, particularly during market downturns. Recent market volatility has made companies paying regular dividends more attractive, especially Vedanta and Hindustan Zinc, both recognized for their substantial payouts. This article takes a closer look at these two companies, examining their dividend histories, business operations, and overall financial health to determine which holds the upper hand for income-focused investors.

With the benchmark indices down over 14% from their all-time highs and smaller stocks experiencing even steeper declines, investors are seeking refuge in reliable dividend-paying stocks, classified as 'Dividend Aristocrats'. This term refers to stocks known for consistent dividend increases, reflecting strong fundamentals. Here, Vedanta and Hindustan Zinc stand out prominently, with both offering compelling dividend yields.

Before we dig deep, let's take a brief look at their core businesses. Hindustan Zinc, which has been pivotal since 1966, identifies itself as the world’s second-largest integrated zinc producer and third-largest silver producer. A subsidiary of Vedanta, it has leveraged backward integration through captive power plants and holds substantial zinc reserves. The company operates its integrated zinc-lead-silver operations out of India, securing 75% of its revenue domestically.

Vedanta Ltd is more diversified, engaged not just with zinc but also involved with resources like oil, gas, copper, and aluminum. Proclaimed as the largest private sector crude oil producer and iron ore miner, Vedanta's reach extends beyond India to regions including Namibia and South Africa. This diversification provides it with more resilience against industry suppression but also introduces complexity concerning its financial maneuvers.

When it boils down to market valuation, Hindustan Zinc sits slightly above Vedanta with a market cap of ₹1.8 trillion compared to Vedanta’s ₹1.7 trillion. This positions Hindustan Zinc favorably within zinc production, controlling 75% of India’s market share, even as Vedanta also remains competitive with significant outputs across other minerals.

Checking the stock market performance, Vedanta recorded impressive returns, skyrocketing 62% last year, outpacing Hindustan Zinc's 37%. Both companies have provided substantial gains against the Nifty 50 index, which saw only 2.6% increase over the same period.

The revenue generation for these companies presents contrasting stories. Vedanta, with revenue massively steered by its aluminum business, achieved growth at 11.2% CAGR over the last five years. Hindustan Zinc's revenue is predominantly zinc-driven, representing 62% of its revenue, generating growth at 9.3% CAGR. This indicates Vedanta’s broader product portfolio may offer more stability against market fluctuations.

Profitability reveals another facet of comparison. Hindustan Zinc demonstrated solid growth with operational efficiency, operating with EBITDA margins averaging around 55.2% over the past three years. Vedanta, engaging several sectors, averaged lower at 29.1%. Their respective net profit margins echoed this efficiency disparity, with Hindustan Zinc averaging 30.1%, leaving Vedanta trailing at 11%.

Looking directly at dividends, both companies have impressive histories. Hindustan Zinc has prioritized consistent payouts since 2003, with dividends rising from ₹0.8 per share to ₹19 declared already for FY25. Conversely, Vedanta began its dividend payments back in 1994 and has recently announced ₹43.5 per share for FY25, aiming to recover after lower distributions the previous year.

Historically, Vedanta's dividend growth has been aggressive, posting nearly 48.9% growth over the last five years compared to Hindustan Zinc’s slight decline of 4.7%. Despite Vedanta’s historical swings, current projections position Hindustan Zinc favorably due to its manageable debt levels, with Hindustan's debt-to-equity ratio sitting at 0.3 against Vedanta's 1.7.

Both companies maintain substantial capacities: Hindustan Zinc is aligned for more consistency with lower debt and clear operational targets. Vedanta, on the flip side, has embarked on higher-risk expansions, particularly within energy, hinting at potential volatility impacting future payouts.

Potentially concerning for investors are the dividend payout ratios, where Vedanta's average stood at 158.8% contrasting with Hindustan Zinc’s 151.1%. High ratios can indicate sustainability issues, especially if profits dwindle—as happened for Vedanta with recent earnings plummeting, impacting their ability to maintain high dividends.

When considering the dividend yield, Hindustan Zinc has averaged 11% over the past five years, against Vedanta's 13.8%. Higher yields may attract investors seeking immediate returns, but they should also weigh this against sustainability and growth prospects.

Both companies tout strong growth prospects, yet their strategic paths diverge. Vedanta’s ambitious expansions and market diversifications are exciting, but they may introduce risks not present with Hindustan Zinc’s more focused, conservative approach. This difference poses significant questions for potential investors: are they comfortable with the risks associated with Vedanta's growth model, or do they prefer the steadier, more predictable nature of Hindustan Zinc? At the end of the day, thorough research and individual goals should guide any investment decision.

What appears certain is this: both companies have strong fundamentals supporting their respective dividend strategies. Investors should evaluate their priorities, weighing short-term income against long-term growth and management policies before making any commitment.