Predictions for the 2025 NRL season are not straightforward, particularly amid player transfers, coaching changes, and the unpredictable nature of rugby league. With the integration of advanced technology, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), forecasting becomes more data-driven, accounting for numerous variables influencing team performance.
At the top of the predicted ladder stands Melbourne Storm. With key players like Cameron Munster and Harry Grant forming what is considered a lethal spine, the Storm is bolstered by significant signings, including newcomer Stefano Utoikamanu. Their combination of talent and winning culture under coach Craig Bellamy makes them strong contenders for the minor premiers this season. One analyst commented, "The Storm are stacked with a lethal spine... They're my pick for minor premiers." Widespread recognition of the depth within their roster places them at the forefront as the season approaches.
Close behind are the Penrith Panthers. Despite losing Jarome Luai and James Fisher-Harris, the Panthers are expected to maintain their competitive edge. Nathan Cleary's fitness is pivotal as they vie for position near the top of the ladder. An analyst stated, "Penrith's system is rock-solid [...] they're still a force." While they may not dominate as they have previously, the strength of their squad and coaching staff supports their standing as serious contenders.
Moving to the Cronulla Sharks, the addition of Addin Fonua-Blake has strengthened their forward pack significantly. Times of consistency could see them pushing for a top-four finish, leveraging the prime form of player Nicho Hynes. Coaches have noted, "If they can stay consistent, they'll push for a top-four finish and maybe even a premiership tilt." Meanwhile, the Brisbane Broncos, under the leadership of Michael Maguire, aim to recover from previous turmoil. Their promising young talents, like Reece Walsh and Ezra Mam, alongside experienced hands like Adam Reynolds, make them another top contender.
The Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs have shown glimpses of potential under coach Cameron Ciraldo. With players like Matt Burton and Stephen Crichton, they are predicted to be finals-bound. Over at Manly Sea Eagles, the health and performance of Tom Trbojevic remain central. If fit, as cited, "If he stays healthy, their backline is dynamite," signaling hope for playoff aspirations.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs are buoyed by the return of veteran coach Wayne Bennett. Expectations run high among their fanbase. Analyst opinions suggest star players like Latrell Mitchell could shine under Bennett’s guidance, "Wayne Bennett's return is massive." Managing injuries, particularly to Cameron Murray, will be integral to their campaign.
Looking to the Gold Coast Titans, the return of Tino Fa'asuamaleaui and new signing Reagan Campbell-Gillard could propel them toward finals contention. Though there’s potential, the question remains about their consistency on the field. The Sydney Roosters face challenges with significant losses and must rely on their younger players to navigate tough fixtures. A rebuilding phase under Trent Robinson might be coming as they too aspire to gain momentum this season.
Further down the predicted rankings, the Newcastle Knights and North Queensland Cowboys struggle with key player losses and aging personnel. The Cowboys, for example, are now relying heavily on their more seasoned players to anchor their chances for playoffs.
The Dolphins are expected to regress after losing key players, marking their transition from last year's strong performance. Predictions invoke concern as they appear to be stepping back compared to previous seasons. Likewise, Canberra Raiders face challenges—key player losses alongside their notoriously tough schedule could leave them out of finals contention.
The Wests Tigers are experiencing revitalization with new signings Jarome Luai and Terrell May. While they might not make the finals, they are poised for strong improvements and potential escape from the bottom. The New Zealand Warriors see new additions but also face significant losses, creating uncertain ground as they enter the season.
Lastly, the Parramatta Eels face what's anticipated to be a rebuilding year, plagued by the loss of veteran leadership and uncertainty surrounding key positions. Meanwhile, the St George Illawarra Dragons are expected to struggle at the bottom of the table, influenced by aging signings and needing fresh talent. One analyst offered, "Shane Flanagan's signings are aging, and the halves pairing lacks spark; they’re my pick for the wooden spoon."
This predicted ladder showcases tight competition with little room for error, especially from 5th to 17th place, where injuries and breakout seasons could drastically alter standings. The preseason set-up suggests predictable top four finishes, yet true to form, the NRL's unpredictability ensures surprises await.