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Economy
10 January 2026

South Korea Bets Big On Growth With Record Investment

A historic export surge and a sweeping government plan aim to drive South Korea’s economy beyond expectations in 2026, but challenges of inequality and global competition loom.

South Korea is setting ambitious new records in economic policy and export performance, signaling a bold new chapter for the nation’s economy in 2026. On January 9, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy and Finance Koo Yun-cheol unveiled the government’s sweeping “2026 Economic Growth Strategy” at a national report meeting chaired by President Lee Jae Myung at the Blue House. The announcement comes on the heels of a historic milestone: South Korea’s exports surpassed $700 billion for the first time in 2025, a feat largely powered by a surge in semiconductor shipments, according to Yonhap and other local media reports.

President Lee set the tone for the ambitious year ahead, declaring, “This year is the first year of the Republic of Korea’s great leap forward, achieving growth in all sectors.” He added, “We prepared for full-scale growth by rebuilding the people’s economy that collapsed last year, and this year we expect growth of about 2%, slightly exceeding the potential growth rate.” This upward revision to a 2% growth target for 2026, up from the earlier 1.8%, stands out because it exceeds the forecasts of major domestic and international institutions, including the Bank of Korea and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

What’s driving this confidence? The government’s strategy hinges on a record-breaking investment package: a whopping 1.5 quadrillion won (about $1.1 trillion), which includes total expenditures of 728 trillion won—an 8.1% increase over the previous year. This unprecedented scale of investment draws from public institutions, policy financing, and private investment, all aimed at revitalizing the economy and propelling it into a new era of innovation and growth.

According to KBS, the government has outlined 15 major tasks and 50 detailed implementation tasks, all grouped under four broad goals: proactive macroeconomic management, restoring the potential growth rate, ensuring balanced national growth and overcoming polarization, and strengthening the foundation for what officials are calling a “great leap forward.” These are not just buzzwords. The government’s approach is highly structured, focusing on clear deliverables and accountability across ministries and agencies.

One of the standout features of the new strategy is the focus on the so-called “Super-Innovation Economy 15 Leading Projects.” These projects put South Korea’s ambitions front and center in areas like artificial intelligence transformation (AX) and green transformation (GX). The government plans to provide concentrated support to these sectors through a mix of fiscal, taxation, and financial incentives, hoping to cement Korea’s status as a global leader in cutting-edge industries.

To support these efforts, the government will fully operate a 30 trillion won National Growth Fund. In addition, a new Strategic Export Finance Fund will be established in the first half of 2026 to back large-scale projects in advanced strategic industries such as semiconductors, defense, and biotechnology. There’s also a sovereign wealth fund, with 20 trillion won in capital, set to launch and invest in innovative growth companies both at home and abroad.

This aggressive investment push is not happening in a vacuum. It comes as South Korea reaps the rewards of a booming export sector, particularly in semiconductors. As reported by Yonhap, the country’s exports soared past $700 billion for the first time in 2025, with chips providing the decisive lift. The semiconductor surge has not only bolstered the manufacturing base but also invigorated the investment cycle and improved the nation’s trade balance. This export performance is central to the government’s confidence that it can achieve—and even surpass—the 2% growth target for 2026.

“The surge in semiconductor exports was the decisive factor lifting the country's manufacturing base, investment cycle, and trade balance,” Yonhap noted. With semiconductors now a cornerstone of the nation’s economic strategy, South Korea is betting that continued strength in this sector will help it outpace its own potential growth rate.

Still, there are notes of caution amid the optimism. Analysts have warned of the risk of “K-shaped growth,” a scenario where the speed and magnitude of economic recovery diverge sharply across different social classes. This means that while some sectors and groups may surge ahead, others could be left behind, deepening inequality and social polarization. The government appears mindful of these risks, as reflected in its emphasis on balanced national growth and overcoming polarization as core pillars of the new strategy.

To address these concerns, the government’s plan includes targeted measures to ensure that the benefits of growth are widely shared. For example, the focus on green transformation is expected not only to create new high-tech jobs but also to support regions and communities that have traditionally relied on older, less sustainable industries. Similarly, the artificial intelligence transformation projects are designed to foster innovation across a broad swath of the economy, from manufacturing and logistics to healthcare and education.

President Lee’s administration is also keen to leverage policy tools across the board, from budget and finance to taxation, in pursuit of its goals. As the Deputy Prime Minister emphasized, “The policy is to achieve growth targets by mobilizing all available national policy instruments, including budget, finance, and taxation.” This whole-of-government approach is meant to ensure that the ambitious targets set for 2026 are not just aspirational but achievable.

The optimism is palpable, but so is the sense of urgency. South Korea faces stiff competition from other advanced economies, particularly in technology and green industries. The government’s willingness to commit record resources and adopt a coordinated strategy reflects a recognition that standing still is not an option if the country wants to maintain its competitive edge.

It’s also worth noting that the export surge of 2025 was not a fluke. It was the result of years of investment in technology, infrastructure, and human capital, as well as strategic moves to diversify export markets and strengthen supply chains. The government’s new strategy seeks to build on this momentum, ensuring that South Korea remains resilient and adaptable in the face of global economic uncertainties.

As the country embarks on what President Lee has called a “great leap forward,” the stakes could hardly be higher. Success would mean not just higher growth rates, but a more innovative, inclusive, and sustainable economy. Failure, on the other hand, could exacerbate existing divisions and leave South Korea vulnerable to external shocks.

With the government’s bold new plan now in motion and the export engine firing on all cylinders, all eyes will be on how these policies play out in practice. Will the record investments and targeted initiatives deliver the promised results? Only time will tell, but for now, South Korea is making a statement: it’s aiming high, and it has the resources—and the resolve—to try to get there.