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Cartel Violence Grips Ecuador And Mexico In 2025

As Guayaquil faces record murders and Michoacán mourns a slain grower, officials debate how to restore order amid cartel threats and political tension.

6 min read

Residents of two major Latin American nations—Ecuador and Mexico—are grappling with an escalating wave of violence, as drug cartels tighten their grip on local communities, businesses, and even political figures. From the bustling port city of Guayaquil in Ecuador to the fertile fields of Michoacán, Mexico, the stories emerging this October paint a grim picture of organized crime’s reach and the struggle to contain it.

In Ecuador, Guayaquil’s mayor, Aquiles Alvarez, finds himself at the epicenter of a crisis that has transformed his city into the country’s most dangerous. With nearly three million residents, Guayaquil has recorded a staggering 1,900 murders between January and September 2025—the highest toll anywhere in Ecuador, according to AFP. “People live under stress,” Alvarez told the news agency, highlighting the psychological toll of the violence. Just last week, his city faced seven bomb alerts—each one a false alarm, but each triggering panic. “They leave backpacks with dirty clothes inside and people panic, thinking they are bombs,” he explained from his municipal office, describing what he calls a state of “collective psychosis.”

This anxiety is not unfounded. Once considered one of Latin America’s safest countries, Ecuador has become a key transit hub for cocaine moving from Colombia and Peru to consumers around the globe. As reported by AFP, Mexican cartels have forged alliances with local gangs like Los Choneros and Los Lobos, battling for control over ports and shipping routes. The result? Soaring murder rates, frequent car bombings, assassinations, and prison massacres. In Guayaquil’s poorer neighborhoods, authorities report that organized crime has established drug warehouses, armed patrols, and even so-called hitman schools. Wealthier districts, meanwhile, have retreated behind high walls and private security.

President Daniel Noboa, 37, has responded with a hardline security approach, deploying soldiers onto the streets in an unprecedented show of force. Yet Alvarez, who took office in 2023 with backing from the party of former president Rafael Correa, is openly critical of this strategy. “We believe you don’t fight crime with more guns, vests, helmets, and bullets, but with public policies focused on preventing violence to reduce crime,” he said, emphasizing prevention over militarization. Alvarez, an evangelical father of three who previously managed the Barcelona de Ecuador football club and once delivered pizzas in the United States, wears an electronic ankle bracelet as he faces a fuel smuggling investigation—a charge he vehemently denies.

The mayor’s critique of Noboa’s tactics is not purely policy-driven. He accuses the president of “political persecution,” suggesting that the legal case against him is intended to derail any future political ambitions. “They want to convict me so that in October 2026, when it’s time to register for re-election or any other candidacy, I’m disqualified,” Alvarez claimed in his interview with AFP. While he praises former president Correa, who famously banned foreign military bases during his tenure, Alvarez insists he has his own style and remains pragmatic about potential international support. “All help is welcome for me,” he said. “If they want to contribute with military bases in strategic points of the country, they are welcome to—but it must be coordinated with the armed forces and never at the cost of sovereignty.”

Meanwhile, across the northern border in Mexico, the agricultural heartland of Michoacán is reeling from the murder of Bernardo Bravo, an influential lime grower. As reported by Border Report, Bravo was gunned down inside his truck for refusing to submit to cartel extortion demands, a killing that sent shockwaves throughout the country and underscored the peril faced by farmers and business owners. Omar García Harfuch, Mexico’s head of public safety and protection, announced the arrest of a second suspect in connection with Bravo’s murder, vowing that, “Operations will continue, we are committed to arrest all those responsible for this crime and others that have taken place in the region.”

The stakes are high for Mexico’s agricultural sector. Cartels have increasingly targeted growers of citrus and avocados, not only because these crops are lucrative but also because they offer opportunities for large-scale money laundering. As García Harfuch explained, “We’ll continue to work in coordination with local authorities to return tranquility to these agricultural communities, their peace of mind is a national priority.” The government has responded by ramping up law enforcement and surveillance efforts in Michoacán and other states, aiming to protect ranches and producers from further violence.

In a bid to empower citizens, Mexican authorities have also launched a hotline allowing people to anonymously report crimes and extortion attempts. García Harfuch highlighted the importance of this initiative: “Any person can file a complaint without revealing their identity. There’s a new law now in effect that mandates investigations be started once a call is received.” This approach, officials hope, will help break the culture of silence that has long shielded cartel operations from prosecution.

The stories of Guayaquil and Michoacán are, in many ways, mirror images—each reflecting the corrosive impact of organized crime on daily life, commerce, and governance. In Ecuador, the violence has forced a reckoning over how best to restore order: through military might or social investment? In Mexico, the question is how to break the grip of cartels on vital industries and protect those who refuse to be cowed by threats.

Yet, amid the turmoil, there are glimmers of resilience. Alvarez, despite his legal woes and the constant threat of violence, continues to advocate for a new approach to public safety—one that addresses the roots of crime rather than simply its symptoms. In Mexico, the arrests in Bravo’s case and the rollout of anonymous reporting tools suggest a willingness to innovate in the face of extraordinary danger.

Still, the path forward is fraught with challenges. Both Ecuador and Mexico must contend with the deep entrenchment of criminal networks, the lure of illicit profits, and the ever-present risk of political interference or corruption. As the region watches closely, the choices made in Guayaquil and Michoacán may well determine whether these communities can reclaim their peace—or whether the specter of violence will continue to cast its long shadow.

For now, the people of Guayaquil and Michoacán wait, hope, and—when necessary—fight back, determined not to let fear define their futures.

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